Draft boards with receipts.

Every board on this site is built from signals that survived a backtest — and every ranking comes with a plain-English why. No vibes, no hot takes, no “trust me.” Updated from live NFL camp depth charts for the 2026 season.

Year-Two Breakout Board

Second-year players most likely to jump. Score = rookie-season usage percentile (70%) + draft pedigree (30%), multiplied by camp depth-chart tier.

  • Ashton Jeanty (RB · LV)125.0
  • Omarion Hampton (RB · LAC)121.0
  • Emeka Egbuka (WR · TB)119.8
  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR · CAR)119.2
  • Quinshon Judkins (RB · CLE)118.8
Full board →

Rookie Flier Board

This year's draft class ranked by draft capital × camp depth-chart tier — the coach's plan is the only on-field evidence that exists in August.

  • Jeremiyah Love (RB · ARI)125.0
  • Carnell Tate (WR · TEN)125.0
  • Jordyn Tyson (WR · NO)125.0
  • Kenyon Sadiq (TE · NYJ)125.0
  • Makai Lemon (WR · PHI)125.0
Full board →

Succession Map

Backups one snap away from inherited volume. Inheritance = starter fragility (games missed, injury-report weeks, age cliff) + job shakiness (expiring or cheap contract).

  • J.J. McCarthy (QB · MIN)86.0
  • Carson Wentz (QB · MIN)86.0
  • Luke Musgrave (TE · GB)71.2
  • Xavier Worthy (WR · KC)71.2
  • Josh Whyle (TE · GB)71.2
Full board →

New head coaches — expect a style shift